How Victoria beat second coronavirus wave, Vietnam, Hong Kong


Victoria’s beautiful defeat of the second wave places it in uncommon firm with solely a handful on locations, specialists say.

Melbourne yesterday eased extra restrictions after back-to-back days with zero new coronavirus circumstances and 0 new deaths.

Pubs and eating places and cafes are allowed to open from right this moment and household visits are allowed inside 25km and with a most of two households.

It’s a world away from the bottom level of Victoria’s lockdown in July when each day case numbers topped 700, a curfew was imposed and companies have been shuttered — a few of which can by no means get well.

Premier Daniel Andrews’ dealing with of the pandemic was not with out its errors, together with the lodge quarantine bungle that sparked the second wave and led to lots of of deaths.

However the mannequin he used — one which proved vastly unpopular with a lot of Victorians — is being studied all over the world.

Epidemiologist from the College of South Australia, Professor Adrian Esterman, says solely Hong Kong and Vietnam have achieved what Victoria has.

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“They are the only two (other) countries to have successfully crushed the second wave,” he says.

“However, they are both somewhat authoritarian regimes”.

In Hong Kong, the second wave peaked on July 30 when 149 new circumstances have been recorded. It adopted single digit each day will increase for nearly all of April, Could and June.

The wave hit laborious and Hong Kong responded with blanket lockdowns. They’re now reopening colleges and fine-tuning journey bubble preparations with different Asian international locations in comparable positions, together with Singapore.

As has been famous elsewhere, Hong Kong and its Asian neighbours benefited from epidemic plans that have been already in place previous to the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan.

Giant elements of Europe, now within the grip of a widespread and devastating second wave, had nothing of the kind.

Vietnam, like Victoria, defeated its second wave, however it did so with a mixture of laborious and quick guidelines and inventive initiatives to affect good behaviour — together with a viral track about handwashing.

They locked folks down in April to stifle a primary wave just for it to return in mid-August, a lot worse this time.

Michael Toole, Professor of Worldwide Well being on the Burnet Institute, wrote in The Conversation this week that Vietnam’s response had been an enormous success.

“As during the first wave, blanket testing was conducted in Da Nang, transport in and out of the city was cancelled, and bars and restaurants closed,” he wrote.

“The same local measures were implemented in certain neighbourhoods in Hanoi when new cases were identified. The country has not reported any community transmission since early September.

Professor Esterman says what Victoria did proves that the approach Mr Andrews took was successful and stands the state in good stead regarding the prospect of a third wave.

“Most Victorians that I have been in contact with really understood the importance of containing the second wave, and were willing to make the sacrifices to do it,” he advised

“Of course, it has been particularly hard for those living alone, those with mental health problems, those who have lost their jobs, and business owners. But now they can reap the benefits with the rest of Australia.

“There are always the whingers, and the tin foil hat brigade, but thankfully they appear to be in the minority.”

He mentioned Victoria’s success has been laborious fought and required vital adjustments, together with enhancements involved tracing.

“Victoria started off the second wave in a poor place: below par contact tracing team, some poor government decisions, poor communication especially with their non-English speaking population, and simple bad luck.

“However, all those things (apart from the bad luck) have been corrected, and I give credit to the government for an enormous effort. Even more kudos goes to everyday Victorians.”

He known as the prospect of a 3rd wave “pretty low”.

“After the current experience, upgraded contact tracing and better communication from the Victorian government, any small outbreak should be able to be contained.” final week reported that Melbourne had endured one of many longest COVID-19 lockdowns on the planet.

Epidemiologist from Deakin College, Dr Catherine Bennett, mentioned Victoria’s achievement was of worldwide significance.

“The best comparison we found was Singapore,’’ she said.

“It’s the only one that’s really had a second wave and then brought it under control.

“They closed retail and all the rest. Although, they started releasing some of those restrictions earlier.”

The Premier yesterday thanked Victorians for the function they performed in turning the second wave round. He acknowledged their unimaginable sacrifices.

“Now is the time to congratulate every single Victorian for staying the course,” he mentioned. “Now is the time to thank every single Victorian family for being guided by the data, the science and the doctors.”

The Prime Minister, Scott Morrison, was equally grateful for Victoria’s efforts.

“Victorians have worked hard and sacrificed a lot to get to this point. We thank them for their patience and perseverance,” he mentioned.

“Today’s announcement is a reflection of the dedication and effort of Victorians – taking the next step to reopen Victorian society and the state’s economy.

“After a long winter, there is light at the end of the tunnel for Victorians.”

That gentle leads straight to the pub at 11.59pm tonight.

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